Congress passed and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with broad support from both parties, reflecting a shared priority to prevent disruptions ahead of the November midterms. This stopgap measure resolves the immediate funding deadline that would otherwise trigger a lapse and associated agency preparations. Trader consensus at 99% for no lapse aligns with the enacted law. Late-session changes to the resolution or unforeseen legal challenges remain theoretically possible but lack any current procedural basis.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFederal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
1% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
1% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress passed and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with broad support from both parties, reflecting a shared priority to prevent disruptions ahead of the November midterms. This stopgap measure resolves the immediate funding deadline that would otherwise trigger a lapse and associated agency preparations. Trader consensus at 99% for no lapse aligns with the enacted law. Late-session changes to the resolution or unforeseen legal challenges remain theoretically possible but lack any current procedural basis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,051Data zakończenia
Oct 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress passed and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with broad support from both parties, reflecting a shared priority to prevent disruptions ahead of the November midterms. This stopgap measure resolves the immediate funding deadline that would otherwise trigger a lapse and associated agency preparations. Trader consensus at 99% for no lapse aligns with the enacted law. Late-session changes to the resolution or unforeseen legal challenges remain theoretically possible but lack any current procedural basis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$3,051Data zakończenia
Oct 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Congress passed and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with broad support from both parties, reflecting a shared priority to prevent disruptions ahead of the November midterms. This stopgap measure resolves the immediate funding deadline that would otherwise trigger a lapse and associated agency preparations. Trader consensus at 99% for no lapse aligns with the enacted law. Late-session changes to the resolution or unforeseen legal challenges remain theoretically possible but lack any current procedural basis.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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