Mike Derry holds a commanding lead in the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election market due to the riding's established United Conservative Party dominance, where the party secured 56% support in the prior general election. Derry secured the UCP nomination in June 2026 after defeating Calgary city councillor Dan McLean in a membership vote, gaining endorsement from Premier Danielle Smith and party officials. The by-election, triggered by the May 2026 resignation of former cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz, occurs on September 14 with advance voting already underway. The NDP candidate Kyle Campbell and minor-party contenders face structural barriers in this south Calgary suburban district. Trader consensus reflects these partisan patterns and limited time for shifts before election day, though late developments such as unusually low turnout or unforeseen campaign events could still alter results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMike Derry 95%
Kyle Campbell 3.9%
John Roggeveen <1%
Kyle Joseph <1%
$21,105 Wol.
$21,105 Wol.
Mike Derry
95%
Kyle Campbell
4%
John Roggeveen
<1%
Kyle Joseph
<1%
Mike Derry 95%
Kyle Campbell 3.9%
John Roggeveen <1%
Kyle Joseph <1%
$21,105 Wol.
$21,105 Wol.
Mike Derry
95%
Kyle Campbell
4%
John Roggeveen
<1%
Kyle Joseph
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Mike Derry holds a commanding lead in the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election market due to the riding's established United Conservative Party dominance, where the party secured 56% support in the prior general election. Derry secured the UCP nomination in June 2026 after defeating Calgary city councillor Dan McLean in a membership vote, gaining endorsement from Premier Danielle Smith and party officials. The by-election, triggered by the May 2026 resignation of former cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz, occurs on September 14 with advance voting already underway. The NDP candidate Kyle Campbell and minor-party contenders face structural barriers in this south Calgary suburban district. Trader consensus reflects these partisan patterns and limited time for shifts before election day, though late developments such as unusually low turnout or unforeseen campaign events could still alter results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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