Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$33,957 Wol.
$33,957 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Sara Jacobs (D)
95%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
5%
$33,957 Wol.
$33,957 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Sara Jacobs (D)
$18,219 Wol.
95%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
$15,738 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,957Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,957Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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