California's 15th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, securing 65% of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Charles Hoelter took the second spot with 18%. This positioning, combined with the district's voter registration edge and historical margins, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Unlikely shifts could arise from a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national realignment, though the structural advantages make such outcomes remote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-15 House Election Winner
CA-15 House Election Winner
$122,366 Wol.
$122,366 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Mullin (D)
96%
Charles Hoelter (R)
<1%
$122,366 Wol.
$122,366 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Mullin (D)
$94,061 Wol.
96%
Charles Hoelter (R)
$28,305 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 15th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, securing 65% of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Charles Hoelter took the second spot with 18%. This positioning, combined with the district's voter registration edge and historical margins, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Unlikely shifts could arise from a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national realignment, though the structural advantages make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$122,366Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 15th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, securing 65% of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Charles Hoelter took the second spot with 18%. This positioning, combined with the district's voter registration edge and historical margins, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Unlikely shifts could arise from a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national realignment, though the structural advantages make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$122,366Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...California's 15th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, securing 65% of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Charles Hoelter took the second spot with 18%. This positioning, combined with the district's voter registration edge and historical margins, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Unlikely shifts could arise from a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national realignment, though the structural advantages make such outcomes remote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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