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All 2028 Election Midterms Anthropic IPO Cabinet Shakeup AI Bubble Post Election Competitive Races Fed Trump New Zealand Election South Africa Municipal Elections Spain Elections Astra Iran Israel Election AI LoL Worlds 2026 Derivatives

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All 2028 Election Midterms Anthropic IPO Cabinet Shakeup AI Bubble Post Election Competitive Races Fed Trump New Zealand Election South Africa Municipal Elections Spain Elections Astra Iran Israel Election AI LoL Worlds 2026 Derivatives

Kansas Senate loser concedes by...? card icon

Will the loser of the Kansas Senate election concede by November 3?

Yes

No

$924 Vol.

Iowa Senate loser concedes by...? card icon

Will the loser of the Iowa Senate election concede by November 3?

Yes

No

$534 Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner card icon

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)

55%

Adam Hamilton (D)

-

Roger Marshall (R)

55%

Adam Hamilton (D)

-

$7K Vol.

Closest Senate Race? card icon

Closest Senate Race?

Mississippi

95%

Alaska

5%

Mississippi

95%

Alaska

5%

$119K Vol.

Highest third-place vote share in a 2026 Senate race? card icon

Highest third-place vote share in a 2026 Senate race?

4%+

100%

8%+

98%

4%+

100%

8%+

98%

$6K Vol.

Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election? card icon

Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?

Republicans

99%

Democrats

1%

Republicans

99%

Democrats

1%

$11K Vol.

Which party will win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election? card icon

Which party will win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?

Democrats

100%

Republicans

1%

Democrats

100%

Republicans

1%

NEW

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner card icon

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Mike Rogers (R)

98%

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

1%

Mike Rogers (R)

98%

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

1%

$18K Vol.

Which party will win white voters in the midterms? card icon

Which party will win white voters in the midterms?

Democrats

79%

Republicans

22%

Democrats

79%

Republicans

22%

$79K Vol.

Which party will win white women in the midterms? card icon

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Democrats

98%

Republicans

<1%

Democrats

98%

Republicans

<1%

$55K Vol.

Which party will win older women in the midterms? card icon

Which party will win older women in the midterms?

Democrats

100%

Republicans

<1%

Democrats

100%

Republicans

<1%

$13K Vol.

Which party will win young men in the midterms? card icon

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Democrats

99%

Republicans

<1%

Democrats

99%

Republicans

<1%

$13K Vol.

Which party will win Latino men in the midterms? card icon

Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

Democrats

99%

Republicans

<1%

Democrats

99%

Republicans

<1%

$19K Vol.

GOP Black vote share? card icon

GOP Black vote share?

8–9%

85%

<8%

12%

8–9%

85%

<8%

12%

$10K Vol.

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%? card icon

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$2K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%? card icon

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Mississippi

91%

Alaska

10%

Mississippi

91%

Alaska

10%

$42K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%? card icon

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Mississippi

100%

South Carolina

99%

Mississippi

100%

South Carolina

99%

$214K Vol.

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