**Mike Rogers holds a strong edge among traders to carry Macomb County in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race.** The county’s electorate has trended Republican in recent cycles, favoring candidates with law-and-order and economic messaging over progressive platforms. Rogers, a former congressman with deep regional ties, benefits from this base after winning his primary unopposed, while Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Democratic primary victory came without carrying Macomb or other metro Detroit counties. Recent statewide polls show a tight general-election contest overall, yet Macomb-specific dynamics—voter composition, turnout patterns, and Rogers’ local name recognition—support the market’s assessment of his county-level advantage heading into November.