President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
5% 確率
$156,625 Vol.
$156,625 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
5% 確率
$156,625 Vol.
$156,625 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
音量
$156,625終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$156,625終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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