Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas. Both face Southern District of New York charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms offenses, with a June 2027 trial date and a November 17, 2026, hearing on dismissal motions. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed for release to home confinement, citing a documented deterioration in her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain episodes, weight loss, and medical recommendations for cardiac procedures that detention conditions allegedly cannot support. Prosecutors have opposed the motion, and the judge has not ruled. Trader consensus reflected in related prediction markets assigns low probability to any release by year-end, consistent with the absence of bail grants to date and the standard application of flight-risk considerations in high-profile narcotics cases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,377,979 Vol.
2026/01/30
12月31日
20%
$1,377,979 Vol.
12月31日
$331,377 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas. Both face Southern District of New York charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms offenses, with a June 2027 trial date and a November 17, 2026, hearing on dismissal motions. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed for release to home confinement, citing a documented deterioration in her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain episodes, weight loss, and medical recommendations for cardiac procedures that detention conditions allegedly cannot support. Prosecutors have opposed the motion, and the judge has not ruled. Trader consensus reflected in related prediction markets assigns low probability to any release by year-end, consistent with the absence of bail grants to date and the standard application of flight-risk considerations in high-profile narcotics cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
音量
$1,377,979終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas. Both face Southern District of New York charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms offenses, with a June 2027 trial date and a November 17, 2026, hearing on dismissal motions. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed for release to home confinement, citing a documented deterioration in her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain episodes, weight loss, and medical recommendations for cardiac procedures that detention conditions allegedly cannot support. Prosecutors have opposed the motion, and the judge has not ruled. Trader consensus reflected in related prediction markets assigns low probability to any release by year-end, consistent with the absence of bail grants to date and the standard application of flight-risk considerations in high-profile narcotics cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,377,979終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas. Both face Southern District of New York charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms offenses, with a June 2027 trial date and a November 17, 2026, hearing on dismissal motions. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed for release to home confinement, citing a documented deterioration in her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain episodes, weight loss, and medical recommendations for cardiac procedures that detention conditions allegedly cannot support. Prosecutors have opposed the motion, and the judge has not ruled. Trader consensus reflected in related prediction markets assigns low probability to any release by year-end, consistent with the absence of bail grants to date and the standard application of flight-risk considerations in high-profile narcotics cases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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