Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and related channels, primarily archive historical statements, religious content, and older material rather than issuing frequent new posts. Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026 and the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader have shifted focus to institutional continuity and regional tensions, with limited new original output observed in recent weeks. Accounts have shown sporadic activity around commemorations or reposts, but daily or high-volume posting remains rare. The market’s heavy weighting toward under five posts reflects this established pattern of restrained output. Scenarios that could increase volume include major diplomatic announcements, religious observances, or escalations requiring official statements within the September 15–22 window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5未満 97.4%
5〜9 <1%
10〜14 <1%
15〜19 <1%
$17,375 Vol.
$17,375 Vol.
2026/09/22
5未満
97%
5〜9
1%
10〜14
1%
15〜19
1%
20～24
<1%
25〜29
<1%
30〜34
<1%
35〜39
<1%
40〜44
<1%
45〜49
<1%
50〜54
<1%
55〜59
<1%
60件以上
<1%
5未満 97.4%
5〜9 <1%
10〜14 <1%
15〜19 <1%
$17,375 Vol.
$17,375 Vol.
2026/09/22
5未満
$2,839 Vol.
97%
5〜9
$2,861 Vol.
1%
10〜14
$1,535 Vol.
1%
15〜19
$1,524 Vol.
1%
20～24
$1,925 Vol.
<1%
25〜29
$1,951 Vol.
<1%
30〜34
$1,951 Vol.
<1%
35〜39
$696 Vol.
<1%
40〜44
$606 Vol.
<1%
45〜49
$365 Vol.
<1%
50〜54
$369 Vol.
<1%
55〜59
$384 Vol.
<1%
60件以上
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and related channels, primarily archive historical statements, religious content, and older material rather than issuing frequent new posts. Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026 and the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader have shifted focus to institutional continuity and regional tensions, with limited new original output observed in recent weeks. Accounts have shown sporadic activity around commemorations or reposts, but daily or high-volume posting remains rare. The market’s heavy weighting toward under five posts reflects this established pattern of restrained output. Scenarios that could increase volume include major diplomatic announcements, religious observances, or escalations requiring official statements within the September 15–22 window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$17,375終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and related channels, primarily archive historical statements, religious content, and older material rather than issuing frequent new posts. Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026 and the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader have shifted focus to institutional continuity and regional tensions, with limited new original output observed in recent weeks. Accounts have shown sporadic activity around commemorations or reposts, but daily or high-volume posting remains rare. The market’s heavy weighting toward under five posts reflects this established pattern of restrained output. Scenarios that could increase volume include major diplomatic announcements, religious observances, or escalations requiring official statements within the September 15–22 window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$17,375終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and related channels, primarily archive historical statements, religious content, and older material rather than issuing frequent new posts. Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026 and the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader have shifted focus to institutional continuity and regional tensions, with limited new original output observed in recent weeks. Accounts have shown sporadic activity around commemorations or reposts, but daily or high-volume posting remains rare. The market’s heavy weighting toward under five posts reflects this established pattern of restrained output. Scenarios that could increase volume include major diplomatic announcements, religious observances, or escalations requiring official statements within the September 15–22 window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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