Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for mid-to-late October 2026 following a late-September prospectus, underpins the 94% market-implied odds that it will debut before OpenAI. Recent developments include finalized underwriter arrangements, a potential $15 billion credit facility, and Nvidia discussions as an anchor investor at valuations near $2 trillion, supported by revenue run rates exceeding $65 billion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing to prioritize AI safety and alignment work, shifting its plans to 2027. Trader consensus reflects these concrete steps versus OpenAI’s deliberate delay, though unexpected regulatory hurdles or internal shifts at either large language model developer could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？
AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？
Anthropic
94% 確率
$366,153 Vol.
$366,153 Vol.
2027/12/30
Anthropic
94% 確率
$366,153 Vol.
$366,153 Vol.
2027/12/30
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for mid-to-late October 2026 following a late-September prospectus, underpins the 94% market-implied odds that it will debut before OpenAI. Recent developments include finalized underwriter arrangements, a potential $15 billion credit facility, and Nvidia discussions as an anchor investor at valuations near $2 trillion, supported by revenue run rates exceeding $65 billion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing to prioritize AI safety and alignment work, shifting its plans to 2027. Trader consensus reflects these concrete steps versus OpenAI’s deliberate delay, though unexpected regulatory hurdles or internal shifts at either large language model developer could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$366,153終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for mid-to-late October 2026 following a late-September prospectus, underpins the 94% market-implied odds that it will debut before OpenAI. Recent developments include finalized underwriter arrangements, a potential $15 billion credit facility, and Nvidia discussions as an anchor investor at valuations near $2 trillion, supported by revenue run rates exceeding $65 billion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing to prioritize AI safety and alignment work, shifting its plans to 2027. Trader consensus reflects these concrete steps versus OpenAI’s deliberate delay, though unexpected regulatory hurdles or internal shifts at either large language model developer could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$366,153終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for mid-to-late October 2026 following a late-September prospectus, underpins the 94% market-implied odds that it will debut before OpenAI. Recent developments include finalized underwriter arrangements, a potential $15 billion credit facility, and Nvidia discussions as an anchor investor at valuations near $2 trillion, supported by revenue run rates exceeding $65 billion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing to prioritize AI safety and alignment work, shifting its plans to 2027. Trader consensus reflects these concrete steps versus OpenAI’s deliberate delay, though unexpected regulatory hurdles or internal shifts at either large language model developer could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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