Suzan DelBene's incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus in her favor for the November 2026 general election. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed her position, with DelBene advancing at roughly 53 percent against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent amid a fragmented field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the northern Seattle metro area's voting patterns and DelBene's prior 63 percent victory in 2024. Silva's minimal fundraising and low visibility further limit competitive pressure. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,711 Vol.
$45,711 Vol.
スーザン・デルベネ(民主党)
96%
メアリー・シルバ(共和党)
2%
$45,711 Vol.
$45,711 Vol.
スーザン・デルベネ(民主党)
96%
メアリー・シルバ(共和党)
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Suzan DelBene's incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus in her favor for the November 2026 general election. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed her position, with DelBene advancing at roughly 53 percent against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent amid a fragmented field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the northern Seattle metro area's voting patterns and DelBene's prior 63 percent victory in 2024. Silva's minimal fundraising and low visibility further limit competitive pressure. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問