Recent U.S.-China economic consultations, including Vice Premier He Lifeng's September 2026 visit, have advanced carve-outs for nonsensitive goods from tariff measures and created channels for artificial intelligence discussions. These build on the May 2026 leaders' summit that established bilateral trade and investment boards while addressing agricultural market access and reciprocal tariff frameworks. Preparations for the September 24 White House meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi focus on extending the trade truce set to expire in November, with proposals targeting reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. This momentum supports the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日88% 確率
$260,121 Vol.
$260,121 Vol.
2026/12/31
88% 確率
$260,121 Vol.
$260,121 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China economic consultations, including Vice Premier He Lifeng's September 2026 visit, have advanced carve-outs for nonsensitive goods from tariff measures and created channels for artificial intelligence discussions. These build on the May 2026 leaders' summit that established bilateral trade and investment boards while addressing agricultural market access and reciprocal tariff frameworks. Preparations for the September 24 White House meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi focus on extending the trade truce set to expire in November, with proposals targeting reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. This momentum supports the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
音量
$260,121終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China economic consultations, including Vice Premier He Lifeng's September 2026 visit, have advanced carve-outs for nonsensitive goods from tariff measures and created channels for artificial intelligence discussions. These build on the May 2026 leaders' summit that established bilateral trade and investment boards while addressing agricultural market access and reciprocal tariff frameworks. Preparations for the September 24 White House meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi focus on extending the trade truce set to expire in November, with proposals targeting reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. This momentum supports the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$260,423終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China economic consultations, including Vice Premier He Lifeng's September 2026 visit, have advanced carve-outs for nonsensitive goods from tariff measures and created channels for artificial intelligence discussions. These build on the May 2026 leaders' summit that established bilateral trade and investment boards while addressing agricultural market access and reciprocal tariff frameworks. Preparations for the September 24 White House meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi focus on extending the trade truce set to expire in November, with proposals targeting reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. This momentum supports the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問