**US-Colombia security cooperation has intensified under President Abelardo de la Espriella since his August 2026 inauguration, with shared focus on counter-narcotics and operations against armed groups such as the ELN.** US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, have discussed joint military actions, drone support, intelligence sharing, and potential equipment transfers while leaving open possibilities for deeper involvement like bases or coordinated strikes—always framed as partnership with Colombian consent. Colombian forces have conducted their own airstrikes on guerrilla targets, and a recent court ruling eased prior restrictions on such operations. US strikes have targeted suspected drug vessels in regional waters, contributing to over 200 deaths in the broader campaign, but no direct US military action on Colombian territory has occurred. Diplomatic and constitutional requirements for foreign troops, combined with the emphasis on alliance-building, shape trader assessments of any unilateral US strike scenario. Scheduled diplomatic and operational milestones through late 2026 could influence momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,191,730 Vol.
2026/01/30
12月31日
16%
$2,191,730 Vol.
12月31日
$1,114,515 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**US-Colombia security cooperation has intensified under President Abelardo de la Espriella since his August 2026 inauguration, with shared focus on counter-narcotics and operations against armed groups such as the ELN.** US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, have discussed joint military actions, drone support, intelligence sharing, and potential equipment transfers while leaving open possibilities for deeper involvement like bases or coordinated strikes—always framed as partnership with Colombian consent. Colombian forces have conducted their own airstrikes on guerrilla targets, and a recent court ruling eased prior restrictions on such operations. US strikes have targeted suspected drug vessels in regional waters, contributing to over 200 deaths in the broader campaign, but no direct US military action on Colombian territory has occurred. Diplomatic and constitutional requirements for foreign troops, combined with the emphasis on alliance-building, shape trader assessments of any unilateral US strike scenario. Scheduled diplomatic and operational milestones through late 2026 could influence momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
音量
$2,191,730終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**US-Colombia security cooperation has intensified under President Abelardo de la Espriella since his August 2026 inauguration, with shared focus on counter-narcotics and operations against armed groups such as the ELN.** US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, have discussed joint military actions, drone support, intelligence sharing, and potential equipment transfers while leaving open possibilities for deeper involvement like bases or coordinated strikes—always framed as partnership with Colombian consent. Colombian forces have conducted their own airstrikes on guerrilla targets, and a recent court ruling eased prior restrictions on such operations. US strikes have targeted suspected drug vessels in regional waters, contributing to over 200 deaths in the broader campaign, but no direct US military action on Colombian territory has occurred. Diplomatic and constitutional requirements for foreign troops, combined with the emphasis on alliance-building, shape trader assessments of any unilateral US strike scenario. Scheduled diplomatic and operational milestones through late 2026 could influence momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$2,191,730終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**US-Colombia security cooperation has intensified under President Abelardo de la Espriella since his August 2026 inauguration, with shared focus on counter-narcotics and operations against armed groups such as the ELN.** US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, have discussed joint military actions, drone support, intelligence sharing, and potential equipment transfers while leaving open possibilities for deeper involvement like bases or coordinated strikes—always framed as partnership with Colombian consent. Colombian forces have conducted their own airstrikes on guerrilla targets, and a recent court ruling eased prior restrictions on such operations. US strikes have targeted suspected drug vessels in regional waters, contributing to over 200 deaths in the broader campaign, but no direct US military action on Colombian territory has occurred. Diplomatic and constitutional requirements for foreign troops, combined with the emphasis on alliance-building, shape trader assessments of any unilateral US strike scenario. Scheduled diplomatic and operational milestones through late 2026 could influence momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問