Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the 2024 presidential margin near 30 points and forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while raising millions in campaign funds, contrasting sharply with Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's limited resources after her primary win. The rematch from 2020, when Hagerty prevailed by 27 points, reinforces trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event could still narrow the gap, though current polling and structural factors show limited scope for such changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2026/11/02
ビル・ハガティ（共和党）
96%
マーキータ・ブラッドショー（民主党）
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2026/11/02
ビル・ハガティ（共和党）
$19,518 Vol.
96%
マーキータ・ブラッドショー（民主党）
$10,390 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the 2024 presidential margin near 30 points and forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while raising millions in campaign funds, contrasting sharply with Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's limited resources after her primary win. The rematch from 2020, when Hagerty prevailed by 27 points, reinforces trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event could still narrow the gap, though current polling and structural factors show limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$29,907終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the 2024 presidential margin near 30 points and forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while raising millions in campaign funds, contrasting sharply with Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's limited resources after her primary win. The rematch from 2020, when Hagerty prevailed by 27 points, reinforces trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event could still narrow the gap, though current polling and structural factors show limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$29,907終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the 2024 presidential margin near 30 points and forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while raising millions in campaign funds, contrasting sharply with Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's limited resources after her primary win. The rematch from 2020, when Hagerty prevailed by 27 points, reinforces trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event could still narrow the gap, though current polling and structural factors show limited scope for such changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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