Google's Gemini models maintain a strong position as the likely second-best lab in the Text Arena Math category, where Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate the top leaderboard spots with scores above 1520. Recent arena updates through mid-September show Google's flash and pro variants holding competitive math-specific rankings just behind multiple Anthropic entries, reflecting sustained progress in reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. Trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for Google reflects this gap, while OpenAI's GPT series and other labs trail with lower arena performance amid ongoing model iterations. With resolution imminent, any late-September releases or voting surges could influence final lab standings before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Google 87%
OpenAI 6.6%
Anthropic 3.9%
Meta 2.0%
$61,469 Vol.
$61,469 Vol.
2026/09/30
87%
OpenAI
7%
Anthropic
4%
Meta
2%
Alibaba
2%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 87%
OpenAI 6.6%
Anthropic 3.9%
Meta 2.0%
$61,469 Vol.
$61,469 Vol.
2026/09/30
$20,411 Vol.
87%
OpenAI
$7,003 Vol.
7%
Anthropic
$7,839 Vol.
4%
Meta
$1,645 Vol.
2%
Alibaba
$5,852 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$1,828 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$1,766 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,357 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$1,393 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,507 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,714 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,297 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,327 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models maintain a strong position as the likely second-best lab in the Text Arena Math category, where Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate the top leaderboard spots with scores above 1520. Recent arena updates through mid-September show Google's flash and pro variants holding competitive math-specific rankings just behind multiple Anthropic entries, reflecting sustained progress in reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. Trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for Google reflects this gap, while OpenAI's GPT series and other labs trail with lower arena performance amid ongoing model iterations. With resolution imminent, any late-September releases or voting surges could influence final lab standings before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
音量
$61,469終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models maintain a strong position as the likely second-best lab in the Text Arena Math category, where Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate the top leaderboard spots with scores above 1520. Recent arena updates through mid-September show Google's flash and pro variants holding competitive math-specific rankings just behind multiple Anthropic entries, reflecting sustained progress in reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. Trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for Google reflects this gap, while OpenAI's GPT series and other labs trail with lower arena performance amid ongoing model iterations. With resolution imminent, any late-September releases or voting surges could influence final lab standings before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$61,469終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETGoogle's Gemini models maintain a strong position as the likely second-best lab in the Text Arena Math category, where Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate the top leaderboard spots with scores above 1520. Recent arena updates through mid-September show Google's flash and pro variants holding competitive math-specific rankings just behind multiple Anthropic entries, reflecting sustained progress in reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. Trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for Google reflects this gap, while OpenAI's GPT series and other labs trail with lower arena performance amid ongoing model iterations. With resolution imminent, any late-September releases or voting surges could influence final lab standings before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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