Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew during a swift coastal offensive that also captured Mocha and Dhubab. This move placed the Iran-aligned group in direct control of the island at the narrowest point of the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, splitting key shipping channels and extending Houthi influence over Red Sea maritime routes amid broader regional tensions involving Iran. Saudi airstrikes have targeted nearby positions, but no major counteroffensive to retake the island has materialized in the following days. Trader assessments of the timeline for any reversal hinge on Yemeni government or coalition military capacity, potential external intervention, and the challenges of amphibious operations against entrenched Houthi forces holding surrounding mainland areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
9月30日
4%
10月31日
15%
12月31日
26%
$8,963 Vol.
9月30日
$1,730 Vol.
4%
10月31日
$4,052 Vol.
15%
12月31日
$3,181 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew during a swift coastal offensive that also captured Mocha and Dhubab. This move placed the Iran-aligned group in direct control of the island at the narrowest point of the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, splitting key shipping channels and extending Houthi influence over Red Sea maritime routes amid broader regional tensions involving Iran. Saudi airstrikes have targeted nearby positions, but no major counteroffensive to retake the island has materialized in the following days. Trader assessments of the timeline for any reversal hinge on Yemeni government or coalition military capacity, potential external intervention, and the challenges of amphibious operations against entrenched Houthi forces holding surrounding mainland areas.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
音量
$8,963終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew during a swift coastal offensive that also captured Mocha and Dhubab. This move placed the Iran-aligned group in direct control of the island at the narrowest point of the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, splitting key shipping channels and extending Houthi influence over Red Sea maritime routes amid broader regional tensions involving Iran. Saudi airstrikes have targeted nearby positions, but no major counteroffensive to retake the island has materialized in the following days. Trader assessments of the timeline for any reversal hinge on Yemeni government or coalition military capacity, potential external intervention, and the challenges of amphibious operations against entrenched Houthi forces holding surrounding mainland areas.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$8,963終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew during a swift coastal offensive that also captured Mocha and Dhubab. This move placed the Iran-aligned group in direct control of the island at the narrowest point of the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, splitting key shipping channels and extending Houthi influence over Red Sea maritime routes amid broader regional tensions involving Iran. Saudi airstrikes have targeted nearby positions, but no major counteroffensive to retake the island has materialized in the following days. Trader assessments of the timeline for any reversal hinge on Yemeni government or coalition military capacity, potential external intervention, and the challenges of amphibious operations against entrenched Houthi forces holding surrounding mainland areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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