Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2026/11/02
クラウディア・テニー（共和党）
93%
アリッサ・エルマン（民主党）
9%
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2026/11/02
クラウディア・テニー（共和党）
$10,938 Vol.
93%
アリッサ・エルマン（民主党）
$9,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$20,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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