Germany’s federal government and the EU have maintained firm opposition to restarting Nord Stream flows, citing ongoing sanctions under the 2025 Package 18 that explicitly ban transactions, maintenance, and operation of the pipelines. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has publicly committed to blocking any reactivation of Nord Stream 2 as leverage in Ukraine-related diplomacy, while Germany has completed its shift to LNG imports and other suppliers. One Nord Stream 2 line remains physically intact, yet Russian offers to resume deliveries require a Berlin policy reversal that has not materialized. Recent Swiss court rulings have preserved the operator’s corporate structure rather than forcing liquidation, but these steps have not altered EU or German positions ahead of the 2027 phase-out target for Russian gas. Trader pricing reflects these durable legal and political barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
8% 確率
$163,437 Vol.
$163,437 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
8% 確率
$163,437 Vol.
$163,437 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Germany’s federal government and the EU have maintained firm opposition to restarting Nord Stream flows, citing ongoing sanctions under the 2025 Package 18 that explicitly ban transactions, maintenance, and operation of the pipelines. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has publicly committed to blocking any reactivation of Nord Stream 2 as leverage in Ukraine-related diplomacy, while Germany has completed its shift to LNG imports and other suppliers. One Nord Stream 2 line remains physically intact, yet Russian offers to resume deliveries require a Berlin policy reversal that has not materialized. Recent Swiss court rulings have preserved the operator’s corporate structure rather than forcing liquidation, but these steps have not altered EU or German positions ahead of the 2027 phase-out target for Russian gas. Trader pricing reflects these durable legal and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
音量
$163,437終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Germany’s federal government and the EU have maintained firm opposition to restarting Nord Stream flows, citing ongoing sanctions under the 2025 Package 18 that explicitly ban transactions, maintenance, and operation of the pipelines. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has publicly committed to blocking any reactivation of Nord Stream 2 as leverage in Ukraine-related diplomacy, while Germany has completed its shift to LNG imports and other suppliers. One Nord Stream 2 line remains physically intact, yet Russian offers to resume deliveries require a Berlin policy reversal that has not materialized. Recent Swiss court rulings have preserved the operator’s corporate structure rather than forcing liquidation, but these steps have not altered EU or German positions ahead of the 2027 phase-out target for Russian gas. Trader pricing reflects these durable legal and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$163,437終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Germany’s federal government and the EU have maintained firm opposition to restarting Nord Stream flows, citing ongoing sanctions under the 2025 Package 18 that explicitly ban transactions, maintenance, and operation of the pipelines. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has publicly committed to blocking any reactivation of Nord Stream 2 as leverage in Ukraine-related diplomacy, while Germany has completed its shift to LNG imports and other suppliers. One Nord Stream 2 line remains physically intact, yet Russian offers to resume deliveries require a Berlin policy reversal that has not materialized. Recent Swiss court rulings have preserved the operator’s corporate structure rather than forcing liquidation, but these steps have not altered EU or German positions ahead of the 2027 phase-out target for Russian gas. Trader pricing reflects these durable legal and political barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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