**Héctor Santana García leads trader pricing at 34.1% for the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial election, followed by Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez at 15.3%, Geraldine Ponce Méndez at 12.0%, and Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu at 12.0%, with the Morena-PVEM-PT coalition heavily favored overall.** Multiple June–July 2026 surveys show the coalition ahead by wide margins in statewide preference, while internal coalition polling places Santana ahead among aspirants in several measurements, citing stronger reputation scores and name recognition as mayor of Bahía de Banderas. Bugarín and Ponce remain competitive in other readings, reflecting the open nomination process that includes surveys, a no-aggression pact among five main contenders, and license requirements set in mid-2026. Recent security developments, including a foiled plot against the incumbent governor and a sharp drop in homicides, have not materially shifted coalition positioning. The fragmented field and undecided voters keep probabilities fluid until the coalition selects its nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Héctor Santana García 34.7%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 15.3%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 11.9%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.5%
$29,146 Vol.
$29,146 Vol.
Héctor Santana García
35%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
15%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
12%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
11%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
3%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
2%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
2%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Héctor Santana García 34.7%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 15.3%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 11.9%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.5%
$29,146 Vol.
$29,146 Vol.
Héctor Santana García
35%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
15%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
12%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
11%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
3%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
2%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
2%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Héctor Santana García leads trader pricing at 34.1% for the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial election, followed by Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez at 15.3%, Geraldine Ponce Méndez at 12.0%, and Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu at 12.0%, with the Morena-PVEM-PT coalition heavily favored overall.** Multiple June–July 2026 surveys show the coalition ahead by wide margins in statewide preference, while internal coalition polling places Santana ahead among aspirants in several measurements, citing stronger reputation scores and name recognition as mayor of Bahía de Banderas. Bugarín and Ponce remain competitive in other readings, reflecting the open nomination process that includes surveys, a no-aggression pact among five main contenders, and license requirements set in mid-2026. Recent security developments, including a foiled plot against the incumbent governor and a sharp drop in homicides, have not materially shifted coalition positioning. The fragmented field and undecided voters keep probabilities fluid until the coalition selects its nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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