Imelda Castro Castro holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor market because Morena and its allies designated her state coordinator for the defense of the transformation in late August 2026, effectively securing the party's nomination ahead of the June 2027 election. This followed an internal registration process in June involving 13 aspirants and the withdrawal or sidelining of figures tied to former governor Rubén Rocha Moya amid federal investigations. Recent polling from mid-2026 showed Castro leading Morena preferences and hypothetical general-election matchups against PRI, PAN, and other opposition contenders, reflecting the party's dominant position in the state. Lower-priced names such as Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil, Tomás de Jesús López Bajo, and various listed aspirants remain marginal because they lack comparable party machinery or polling traction as the formal electoral timeline begins in September 2026. Trader consensus therefore centers on Castro's structural advantages entering the campaign period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Imelda Castro Castro 87%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.0%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo 2.9%
Omar López Campos 2.9%
$29,028 Vol.
$29,028 Vol.

Imelda Castro Castro
87%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%

Omar López Campos
3%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
2%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
2%

Sergio Torres Félix
2%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
2%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%

María Fernanda Rivera
1%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
1%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
Imelda Castro Castro 87%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.0%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo 2.9%
Omar López Campos 2.9%
$29,028 Vol.
$29,028 Vol.

Imelda Castro Castro
87%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%

Omar López Campos
3%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
2%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
2%

Sergio Torres Félix
2%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
2%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%

María Fernanda Rivera
1%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
1%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Imelda Castro Castro holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor market because Morena and its allies designated her state coordinator for the defense of the transformation in late August 2026, effectively securing the party's nomination ahead of the June 2027 election. This followed an internal registration process in June involving 13 aspirants and the withdrawal or sidelining of figures tied to former governor Rubén Rocha Moya amid federal investigations. Recent polling from mid-2026 showed Castro leading Morena preferences and hypothetical general-election matchups against PRI, PAN, and other opposition contenders, reflecting the party's dominant position in the state. Lower-priced names such as Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil, Tomás de Jesús López Bajo, and various listed aspirants remain marginal because they lack comparable party machinery or polling traction as the formal electoral timeline begins in September 2026. Trader consensus therefore centers on Castro's structural advantages entering the campaign period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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