Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with 44.1% of the vote, benefiting from the endorsement of retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district has long favored Republicans, as shown by Graves’ 70.7% general election margin in 2024. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 47.7% but faces structural challenges in a seat where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Traders’ consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, Stigall’s primary performance, and the absence of major developments since the August primaries that would alter the outlook. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this type of contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
2026/11/02
クリス・スティガル（共和党）
95%
ジョシュ・スメード（民主党）
6%
$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
2026/11/02
クリス・スティガル（共和党）
$27,455 Vol.
95%
ジョシュ・スメード（民主党）
$15,640 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with 44.1% of the vote, benefiting from the endorsement of retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district has long favored Republicans, as shown by Graves’ 70.7% general election margin in 2024. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 47.7% but faces structural challenges in a seat where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Traders’ consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, Stigall’s primary performance, and the absence of major developments since the August primaries that would alter the outlook. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this type of contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$43,095終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with 44.1% of the vote, benefiting from the endorsement of retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district has long favored Republicans, as shown by Graves’ 70.7% general election margin in 2024. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 47.7% but faces structural challenges in a seat where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Traders’ consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, Stigall’s primary performance, and the absence of major developments since the August primaries that would alter the outlook. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this type of contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,095終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with 44.1% of the vote, benefiting from the endorsement of retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district has long favored Republicans, as shown by Graves’ 70.7% general election margin in 2024. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 47.7% but faces structural challenges in a seat where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Traders’ consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, Stigall’s primary performance, and the absence of major developments since the August primaries that would alter the outlook. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this type of contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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