Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in trader consensus around 96% implied probability. His established record as a former governor and mayor, combined with Colorado's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests since 2016, underpins this edge. Hickenlooper secured the nomination in a competitive June primary against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, demonstrating broad party support despite a narrower-than-expected margin. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, a state senator who advanced unopposed, faces structural hurdles including limited statewide name recognition and fundraising. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,436 Vol.
$48,436 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ヒッケンルーパー（民主党）
96%
マーク・ベイズリー（共和党）
3%
$48,436 Vol.
$48,436 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ヒッケンルーパー（民主党）
$12,768 Vol.
96%
マーク・ベイズリー（共和党）
$35,668 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in trader consensus around 96% implied probability. His established record as a former governor and mayor, combined with Colorado's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests since 2016, underpins this edge. Hickenlooper secured the nomination in a competitive June primary against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, demonstrating broad party support despite a narrower-than-expected margin. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, a state senator who advanced unopposed, faces structural hurdles including limited statewide name recognition and fundraising. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$48,436終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in trader consensus around 96% implied probability. His established record as a former governor and mayor, combined with Colorado's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests since 2016, underpins this edge. Hickenlooper secured the nomination in a competitive June primary against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, demonstrating broad party support despite a narrower-than-expected margin. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, a state senator who advanced unopposed, faces structural hurdles including limited statewide name recognition and fundraising. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$48,436終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in trader consensus around 96% implied probability. His established record as a former governor and mayor, combined with Colorado's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests since 2016, underpins this edge. Hickenlooper secured the nomination in a competitive June primary against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, demonstrating broad party support despite a narrower-than-expected margin. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, a state senator who advanced unopposed, faces structural hurdles including limited statewide name recognition and fundraising. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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