Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after winning a crowded primary in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly, defeating notable challengers including Jesse Jackson Jr. with roughly 40 percent of the vote. The Illinois 2nd district, covering parts of Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Miller, a Cook County commissioner, holds a substantial fundraising edge while Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in his primary, reported no campaign funds. An independent write-in candidate adds minimal competition. These structural and campaign factors underpin trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
2026/11/02
ドナ・ミラー（民主党）
97%
マイケル・ノアック（共和党）
1%
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
2026/11/02
ドナ・ミラー（民主党）
$14,437 Vol.
97%
マイケル・ノアック（共和党）
$19,249 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after winning a crowded primary in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly, defeating notable challengers including Jesse Jackson Jr. with roughly 40 percent of the vote. The Illinois 2nd district, covering parts of Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Miller, a Cook County commissioner, holds a substantial fundraising edge while Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in his primary, reported no campaign funds. An independent write-in candidate adds minimal competition. These structural and campaign factors underpin trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$33,686終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after winning a crowded primary in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly, defeating notable challengers including Jesse Jackson Jr. with roughly 40 percent of the vote. The Illinois 2nd district, covering parts of Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Miller, a Cook County commissioner, holds a substantial fundraising edge while Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in his primary, reported no campaign funds. An independent write-in candidate adds minimal competition. These structural and campaign factors underpin trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,686終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after winning a crowded primary in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly, defeating notable challengers including Jesse Jackson Jr. with roughly 40 percent of the vote. The Illinois 2nd district, covering parts of Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Miller, a Cook County commissioner, holds a substantial fundraising edge while Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in his primary, reported no campaign funds. An independent write-in candidate adds minimal competition. These structural and campaign factors underpin trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問