Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,399 Vol.
$34,399 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・シンプソン（共和党）
95%
エリー・ギルブレス（民主党）
6%
$34,399 Vol.
$34,399 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・シンプソン（共和党）
$14,241 Vol.
95%
エリー・ギルブレス（民主党）
$20,158 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$34,399終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,399終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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