SpaceX’s sustained Falcon 9 cadence, averaging 13–14 launches per month through mid-September 2026 with over 107 Falcon missions completed, anchors trader consensus around the 140–159 range. High booster reuse rates, rapid Starlink batch deployments from both coasts, and minimal weather or technical stand-downs have sustained this pace, consistent with prior-year records of 165 Falcon flights. Integration of Starship Flight 14, now targeting its first orbital attempt with 26 next-generation satellites later this month, adds upside potential if regulatory and recovery milestones are met, while any extension of the current tempo through Q4 could push totals higher. Market-implied odds reflect confidence in continued operational reliability rather than aggressive acceleration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年にSpaceXは何回打ち上げられますか？
2026年にSpaceXは何回打ち上げられますか？
140～159 74.7%
160〜179 5.6%
120〜139 3.5%
200回以上 2.1%
$333,898 Vol.
$333,898 Vol.
100～119
1%
120〜139
11%
140～159
78%
160〜179
6%
180～199
1%
200回以上
2%
140～159 74.7%
160〜179 5.6%
120〜139 3.5%
200回以上 2.1%
$333,898 Vol.
$333,898 Vol.
100～119
1%
120〜139
11%
140～159
78%
160〜179
6%
180～199
1%
200回以上
2%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
マーケット開始日： Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s sustained Falcon 9 cadence, averaging 13–14 launches per month through mid-September 2026 with over 107 Falcon missions completed, anchors trader consensus around the 140–159 range. High booster reuse rates, rapid Starlink batch deployments from both coasts, and minimal weather or technical stand-downs have sustained this pace, consistent with prior-year records of 165 Falcon flights. Integration of Starship Flight 14, now targeting its first orbital attempt with 26 next-generation satellites later this month, adds upside potential if regulatory and recovery milestones are met, while any extension of the current tempo through Q4 could push totals higher. Market-implied odds reflect confidence in continued operational reliability rather than aggressive acceleration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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