Mike Rogers holds a commanding position as the long-serving incumbent in Alabama's 3rd congressional district, a seat with an R+23 partisan voting index where Republicans have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles, including unopposed general election results in 2024. He secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 83 percent of the primary vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis, a retired intelligence official running unopposed in his primary, has raised limited funds and faces the district's consistent Republican tilt in eastern Alabama counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,215 Vol.
$42,215 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
96%
リー・マキニス（民主党）
<1%
$42,215 Vol.
$42,215 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
$23,837 Vol.
96%
リー・マキニス（民主党）
$18,379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Rogers holds a commanding position as the long-serving incumbent in Alabama's 3rd congressional district, a seat with an R+23 partisan voting index where Republicans have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles, including unopposed general election results in 2024. He secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 83 percent of the primary vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis, a retired intelligence official running unopposed in his primary, has raised limited funds and faces the district's consistent Republican tilt in eastern Alabama counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$42,215終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Rogers holds a commanding position as the long-serving incumbent in Alabama's 3rd congressional district, a seat with an R+23 partisan voting index where Republicans have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles, including unopposed general election results in 2024. He secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 83 percent of the primary vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis, a retired intelligence official running unopposed in his primary, has raised limited funds and faces the district's consistent Republican tilt in eastern Alabama counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,215終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Rogers holds a commanding position as the long-serving incumbent in Alabama's 3rd congressional district, a seat with an R+23 partisan voting index where Republicans have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles, including unopposed general election results in 2024. He secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 83 percent of the primary vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis, a retired intelligence official running unopposed in his primary, has raised limited funds and faces the district's consistent Republican tilt in eastern Alabama counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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