Jerry Carl's commanding position in the AL-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in historical margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decisive 74.6% win in the August 2026 Republican primary. As a former representative for the area with endorsements from business groups and prior Trump support, Carl benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who ran unopposed in his primary but faces limited resources in a solidly Republican district. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,300 Vol.
$48,300 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェリー・カール（共和党）
95%
クライド・ジョーンズ・ジュニア（民主党）
3%
$48,300 Vol.
$48,300 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェリー・カール（共和党）
$21,635 Vol.
95%
クライド・ジョーンズ・ジュニア（民主党）
$26,665 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl's commanding position in the AL-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in historical margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decisive 74.6% win in the August 2026 Republican primary. As a former representative for the area with endorsements from business groups and prior Trump support, Carl benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who ran unopposed in his primary but faces limited resources in a solidly Republican district. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
音量
$48,300終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl's commanding position in the AL-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in historical margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decisive 74.6% win in the August 2026 Republican primary. As a former representative for the area with endorsements from business groups and prior Trump support, Carl benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who ran unopposed in his primary but faces limited resources in a solidly Republican district. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,300終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Jerry Carl's commanding position in the AL-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in historical margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decisive 74.6% win in the August 2026 Republican primary. As a former representative for the area with endorsements from business groups and prior Trump support, Carl benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who ran unopposed in his primary but faces limited resources in a solidly Republican district. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問