**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,927 Vol.
$42,927 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
86%
民主党
6%
$42,927 Vol.
$42,927 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$11,914 Vol.
86%
民主党
$31,013 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$42,927終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,927終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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