**Recent developments have significantly reduced prospects for a binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by December 31.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions to be endorsed by the UNSC, expired in August without agreement as hostilities resumed, the Strait of Hormuz remained contested, and U.S. sanctions waivers were revoked. As of mid-September, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. proposal to extend UN monitoring of Iran sanctions, while Iran communicated strict conditions for resuming talks—such as ending the naval blockade and releasing frozen assets—via Qatar, warning of potential escalation if unmet. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and persistent regional tensions, underpin trader consensus that the timeline for a comprehensive deal and subsequent UNSC endorsement is unlikely to be met.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRisoluzione del Consiglio di sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite che approva l'accordo finale USA-Iran entro il 31 dicembre?
Risoluzione del Consiglio di sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite che approva l'accordo finale USA-Iran entro il 31 dicembre?
Sì
14% probabilità
$242,757 Vol.
$242,757 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
14% probabilità
$242,757 Vol.
$242,757 Vol.
31 dic 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Recent developments have significantly reduced prospects for a binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by December 31.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions to be endorsed by the UNSC, expired in August without agreement as hostilities resumed, the Strait of Hormuz remained contested, and U.S. sanctions waivers were revoked. As of mid-September, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. proposal to extend UN monitoring of Iran sanctions, while Iran communicated strict conditions for resuming talks—such as ending the naval blockade and releasing frozen assets—via Qatar, warning of potential escalation if unmet. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and persistent regional tensions, underpin trader consensus that the timeline for a comprehensive deal and subsequent UNSC endorsement is unlikely to be met.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$242,757Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Recent developments have significantly reduced prospects for a binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by December 31.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions to be endorsed by the UNSC, expired in August without agreement as hostilities resumed, the Strait of Hormuz remained contested, and U.S. sanctions waivers were revoked. As of mid-September, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. proposal to extend UN monitoring of Iran sanctions, while Iran communicated strict conditions for resuming talks—such as ending the naval blockade and releasing frozen assets—via Qatar, warning of potential escalation if unmet. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and persistent regional tensions, underpin trader consensus that the timeline for a comprehensive deal and subsequent UNSC endorsement is unlikely to be met.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$242,757Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Recent developments have significantly reduced prospects for a binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by December 31.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions to be endorsed by the UNSC, expired in August without agreement as hostilities resumed, the Strait of Hormuz remained contested, and U.S. sanctions waivers were revoked. As of mid-September, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. proposal to extend UN monitoring of Iran sanctions, while Iran communicated strict conditions for resuming talks—such as ending the naval blockade and releasing frozen assets—via Qatar, warning of potential escalation if unmet. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and persistent regional tensions, underpin trader consensus that the timeline for a comprehensive deal and subsequent UNSC endorsement is unlikely to be met.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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