John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and margins from recent presidential and gubernatorial contests. As the freshman incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with over 84% in the August primary, McGuire benefits from incumbency advantages and alignment with district voters on key issues. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former representative, has narrowed the gap through substantial fundraising—holding more than $1.5 million in cash on hand—and early general election advertising that highlights McGuire’s record and corporate contributions. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader consensus that the structural partisan edge outweighs Democratic efforts to make the race competitive ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera VA-05
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera VA-05
$66,357 Vol.
$66,357 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John McGuire (R)
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
15%
$66,357 Vol.
$66,357 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John McGuire (R)
$32,601 Vol.
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
$33,756 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and margins from recent presidential and gubernatorial contests. As the freshman incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with over 84% in the August primary, McGuire benefits from incumbency advantages and alignment with district voters on key issues. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former representative, has narrowed the gap through substantial fundraising—holding more than $1.5 million in cash on hand—and early general election advertising that highlights McGuire’s record and corporate contributions. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader consensus that the structural partisan edge outweighs Democratic efforts to make the race competitive ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$66,357Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and margins from recent presidential and gubernatorial contests. As the freshman incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with over 84% in the August primary, McGuire benefits from incumbency advantages and alignment with district voters on key issues. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former representative, has narrowed the gap through substantial fundraising—holding more than $1.5 million in cash on hand—and early general election advertising that highlights McGuire’s record and corporate contributions. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader consensus that the structural partisan edge outweighs Democratic efforts to make the race competitive ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$66,357Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and margins from recent presidential and gubernatorial contests. As the freshman incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with over 84% in the August primary, McGuire benefits from incumbency advantages and alignment with district voters on key issues. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former representative, has narrowed the gap through substantial fundraising—holding more than $1.5 million in cash on hand—and early general election advertising that highlights McGuire’s record and corporate contributions. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader consensus that the structural partisan edge outweighs Democratic efforts to make the race competitive ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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