Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters. As the twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, he secured the nomination with 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition, benefiting from name recognition and party infrastructure in a district encompassing suburban Houston areas in Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current reporting ahead of the November 3 contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,948 Vol.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters. As the twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, he secured the nomination with 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition, benefiting from name recognition and party infrastructure in a district encompassing suburban Houston areas in Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current reporting ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$26,537Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters. As the twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, he secured the nomination with 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition, benefiting from name recognition and party infrastructure in a district encompassing suburban Houston areas in Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current reporting ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,537Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters. As the twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, he secured the nomination with 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition, benefiting from name recognition and party infrastructure in a district encompassing suburban Houston areas in Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current reporting ahead of the November 3 contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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