Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s long-standing KMT structural advantage and the party’s early nomination of a local institutional figure to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 10% amid limited historical DPP success in the county despite her family political ties and efforts to consolidate opposition support. A handful of independents, including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%, register negligible odds. Recent factors include ongoing prosecutorial scrutiny of road-widening projects linked to Wu’s associates, earlier polling showing Wu ahead by wide margins, and candidate registrations closing in early September with no major shifts in positioning. The market resolution awaits official election results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 10.0%
Li Wu Ying-chih <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
87%
Chen Ying
10%
Li Wu Ying-chih
<1%
Wu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 10.0%
Li Wu Ying-chih <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
$4,157 Vol.
87%
Chen Ying
$4,238 Vol.
10%
Li Wu Ying-chih
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s long-standing KMT structural advantage and the party’s early nomination of a local institutional figure to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 10% amid limited historical DPP success in the county despite her family political ties and efforts to consolidate opposition support. A handful of independents, including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%, register negligible odds. Recent factors include ongoing prosecutorial scrutiny of road-widening projects linked to Wu’s associates, earlier polling showing Wu ahead by wide margins, and candidate registrations closing in early September with no major shifts in positioning. The market resolution awaits official election results.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,519Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s long-standing KMT structural advantage and the party’s early nomination of a local institutional figure to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 10% amid limited historical DPP success in the county despite her family political ties and efforts to consolidate opposition support. A handful of independents, including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%, register negligible odds. Recent factors include ongoing prosecutorial scrutiny of road-widening projects linked to Wu’s associates, earlier polling showing Wu ahead by wide margins, and candidate registrations closing in early September with no major shifts in positioning. The market resolution awaits official election results.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$9,519Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s long-standing KMT structural advantage and the party’s early nomination of a local institutional figure to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 10% amid limited historical DPP success in the county despite her family political ties and efforts to consolidate opposition support. A handful of independents, including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%, register negligible odds. Recent factors include ongoing prosecutorial scrutiny of road-widening projects linked to Wu’s associates, earlier polling showing Wu ahead by wide margins, and candidate registrations closing in early September with no major shifts in positioning. The market resolution awaits official election results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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