Russell Fry maintains a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat that has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. As the incumbent with strong name recognition and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million compared to challenger John Vincent’s roughly $235,000, Fry benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt and broad forecaster consensus rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Vincent, a Navy veteran and first-time candidate, has highlighted affordability and veterans’ issues, yet limited polling and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic surge in the midterms, major late-breaking developments affecting the incumbent, or turnout patterns that exceed historical benchmarks in this northeastern South Carolina district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSC-07 House Election Winner
SC-07 House Election Winner
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Russell Fry (R)
96%
John Vincent (D)
6%
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Russell Fry (R)
$21,328 Vol.
96%
John Vincent (D)
$15,635 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russell Fry maintains a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat that has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. As the incumbent with strong name recognition and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million compared to challenger John Vincent’s roughly $235,000, Fry benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt and broad forecaster consensus rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Vincent, a Navy veteran and first-time candidate, has highlighted affordability and veterans’ issues, yet limited polling and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic surge in the midterms, major late-breaking developments affecting the incumbent, or turnout patterns that exceed historical benchmarks in this northeastern South Carolina district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$36,963Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russell Fry maintains a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat that has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. As the incumbent with strong name recognition and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million compared to challenger John Vincent’s roughly $235,000, Fry benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt and broad forecaster consensus rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Vincent, a Navy veteran and first-time candidate, has highlighted affordability and veterans’ issues, yet limited polling and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic surge in the midterms, major late-breaking developments affecting the incumbent, or turnout patterns that exceed historical benchmarks in this northeastern South Carolina district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,963Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Russell Fry maintains a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat that has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. As the incumbent with strong name recognition and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million compared to challenger John Vincent’s roughly $235,000, Fry benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt and broad forecaster consensus rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Vincent, a Navy veteran and first-time candidate, has highlighted affordability and veterans’ issues, yet limited polling and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic surge in the midterms, major late-breaking developments affecting the incumbent, or turnout patterns that exceed historical benchmarks in this northeastern South Carolina district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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