Senate procedural barriers and repeated failed advancement attempts explain the 93.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, becoming law by December 31, 2026. The House passed versions of the measure requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration in February and July 2026, including attempts to attach it to the NDAA. In the Senate, however, reconciliation amendments failed by 48-50 votes in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action due to insufficient support for cloture or simple-majority passage. With the 2026 midterms approaching and no viable path through the 60-vote threshold or confirmed reconciliation vehicle before year-end, traders view enactment as unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHR 22 (SAVE Act) convertito in legge nel 2026?
HR 22 (SAVE Act) convertito in legge nel 2026?
Sì
7% probabilità
$191,410 Vol.
$191,410 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$191,410 Vol.
$191,410 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate procedural barriers and repeated failed advancement attempts explain the 93.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, becoming law by December 31, 2026. The House passed versions of the measure requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration in February and July 2026, including attempts to attach it to the NDAA. In the Senate, however, reconciliation amendments failed by 48-50 votes in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action due to insufficient support for cloture or simple-majority passage. With the 2026 midterms approaching and no viable path through the 60-vote threshold or confirmed reconciliation vehicle before year-end, traders view enactment as unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$191,410Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate procedural barriers and repeated failed advancement attempts explain the 93.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, becoming law by December 31, 2026. The House passed versions of the measure requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration in February and July 2026, including attempts to attach it to the NDAA. In the Senate, however, reconciliation amendments failed by 48-50 votes in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action due to insufficient support for cloture or simple-majority passage. With the 2026 midterms approaching and no viable path through the 60-vote threshold or confirmed reconciliation vehicle before year-end, traders view enactment as unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,410Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Senate procedural barriers and repeated failed advancement attempts explain the 93.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, becoming law by December 31, 2026. The House passed versions of the measure requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration in February and July 2026, including attempts to attach it to the NDAA. In the Senate, however, reconciliation amendments failed by 48-50 votes in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action due to insufficient support for cloture or simple-majority passage. With the 2026 midterms approaching and no viable path through the 60-vote threshold or confirmed reconciliation vehicle before year-end, traders view enactment as unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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