Bob Brooks holds a 69% implied probability in the PA-07 House race against incumbent Ryan Mackenzie at 30%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive Lehigh Valley district that Trump carried by under a point in 2024. Brooks, the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president and Shapiro-endorsed primary winner, benefits from union support, stronger recent fundraising, and head-to-head polling leads such as 47-43%. Mackenzie, seeking a second term after flipping the seat in 2024, has emphasized tax relief and cost-of-living issues while attacking his opponent. A September court ruling removed a potential third-party candidate from the ballot, and the race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$29,284 Vol.
$29,284 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bob Brooks (D)
69%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)
30%
$29,284 Vol.
$29,284 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bob Brooks (D)
$24,112 Vol.
69%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)
$5,172 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Brooks holds a 69% implied probability in the PA-07 House race against incumbent Ryan Mackenzie at 30%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive Lehigh Valley district that Trump carried by under a point in 2024. Brooks, the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president and Shapiro-endorsed primary winner, benefits from union support, stronger recent fundraising, and head-to-head polling leads such as 47-43%. Mackenzie, seeking a second term after flipping the seat in 2024, has emphasized tax relief and cost-of-living issues while attacking his opponent. A September court ruling removed a potential third-party candidate from the ballot, and the race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$29,284Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Brooks holds a 69% implied probability in the PA-07 House race against incumbent Ryan Mackenzie at 30%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive Lehigh Valley district that Trump carried by under a point in 2024. Brooks, the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president and Shapiro-endorsed primary winner, benefits from union support, stronger recent fundraising, and head-to-head polling leads such as 47-43%. Mackenzie, seeking a second term after flipping the seat in 2024, has emphasized tax relief and cost-of-living issues while attacking his opponent. A September court ruling removed a potential third-party candidate from the ballot, and the race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,284Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Bob Brooks holds a 69% implied probability in the PA-07 House race against incumbent Ryan Mackenzie at 30%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive Lehigh Valley district that Trump carried by under a point in 2024. Brooks, the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president and Shapiro-endorsed primary winner, benefits from union support, stronger recent fundraising, and head-to-head polling leads such as 47-43%. Mackenzie, seeking a second term after flipping the seat in 2024, has emphasized tax relief and cost-of-living issues while attacking his opponent. A September court ruling removed a potential third-party candidate from the ballot, and the race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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