The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJascha Rohr 44%
Ulf Prange 44%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$19,489 Vol.
$19,489 Vol.
13 set 2026
Jascha Rohr
41%
Ulf Prange
44%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Jascha Rohr 44%
Ulf Prange 44%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$19,489 Vol.
$19,489 Vol.
13 set 2026
Jascha Rohr
$5,754 Vol.
41%
Ulf Prange
$7,218 Vol.
44%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Vol.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$19,489Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$19,489Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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