Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$26,211 Vol.
$26,211 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
3%
$26,211 Vol.
$26,211 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
$19,054 Vol.
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
$7,158 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$26,211Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,211Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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