United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Moscow Oblast Duma election market after three days of voting concluded on September 20, 2026, coinciding with federal legislative contests. The party benefits from its status as the dominant pro-presidential force, strong regional incumbency under Governor Andrey Vorobyev, and consistent performance in prior cycles where it secured majorities through both proportional lists and single-member districts. Preliminary tallies align with this pattern, reflecting broad institutional support and limited registered opposition capable of clearing thresholds. Trader consensus at 98.6% incorporates the near-certainty of final certification absent major procedural reversals. Potential shifts remain tied to official Central Election Commission validation, any verified discrepancies in electronic or multi-day counts, or successful legal challenges, though historical precedents show such outcomes rarely alter the leading party's position once preliminary margins exceed typical thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUnited Russia 98.6%
Communists of Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$6,156 Vol.
$6,156 Vol.

United Russia
99%

Communists of Russia
1%

CPRF
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%

LDPR
<1%

New People
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Yabloko
<1%

The Greens
<1%
United Russia 98.6%
Communists of Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$6,156 Vol.
$6,156 Vol.

United Russia
99%

Communists of Russia
1%

CPRF
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%

LDPR
<1%

New People
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Yabloko
<1%

The Greens
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Moscow Oblast Duma election market after three days of voting concluded on September 20, 2026, coinciding with federal legislative contests. The party benefits from its status as the dominant pro-presidential force, strong regional incumbency under Governor Andrey Vorobyev, and consistent performance in prior cycles where it secured majorities through both proportional lists and single-member districts. Preliminary tallies align with this pattern, reflecting broad institutional support and limited registered opposition capable of clearing thresholds. Trader consensus at 98.6% incorporates the near-certainty of final certification absent major procedural reversals. Potential shifts remain tied to official Central Election Commission validation, any verified discrepancies in electronic or multi-day counts, or successful legal challenges, though historical precedents show such outcomes rarely alter the leading party's position once preliminary margins exceed typical thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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