President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures citing suspended criminal cases and fitness concerns, yet the ruling-party majority has prevented referral to a plenary vote. Recent polling shows Lee’s approval at a post-inauguration low of 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and cabinet appointments, but the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats offer no realistic path to the 200 votes needed. In an 18 September press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out seeking re-election and addressed constitutional reform without advancing self-serving changes. These structural and political barriers sustain trader consensus that impeachment before 2027 remains highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% probabilità
$21,793 Vol.
$21,793 Vol.
31 dic 2026
6% probabilità
$21,793 Vol.
$21,793 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures citing suspended criminal cases and fitness concerns, yet the ruling-party majority has prevented referral to a plenary vote. Recent polling shows Lee’s approval at a post-inauguration low of 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and cabinet appointments, but the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats offer no realistic path to the 200 votes needed. In an 18 September press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out seeking re-election and addressed constitutional reform without advancing self-serving changes. These structural and political barriers sustain trader consensus that impeachment before 2027 remains highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$21,793Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures citing suspended criminal cases and fitness concerns, yet the ruling-party majority has prevented referral to a plenary vote. Recent polling shows Lee’s approval at a post-inauguration low of 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and cabinet appointments, but the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats offer no realistic path to the 200 votes needed. In an 18 September press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out seeking re-election and addressed constitutional reform without advancing self-serving changes. These structural and political barriers sustain trader consensus that impeachment before 2027 remains highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,793Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures citing suspended criminal cases and fitness concerns, yet the ruling-party majority has prevented referral to a plenary vote. Recent polling shows Lee’s approval at a post-inauguration low of 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and cabinet appointments, but the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats offer no realistic path to the 200 votes needed. In an 18 September press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out seeking re-election and addressed constitutional reform without advancing self-serving changes. These structural and political barriers sustain trader consensus that impeachment before 2027 remains highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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