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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia
Politica·Krakao

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia
Politica·Krakao

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia

Łukasz Gibała 83%

Monika Piątkowska 12%

Michał Drewnicki 3.8%

Rafał Komarewicz 2.4%

Polymarket

$24,214 Vol.

Łukasz Gibała 83%

Monika Piątkowska 12%

Michał Drewnicki 3.8%

Rafał Komarewicz 2.4%

Polymarket

$24,214 Vol.

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$13,413 Vol.

83%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$2,724 Vol.

12%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$506 Vol.

4%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$472 Vol.

2%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$521 Vol.

1%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$465 Vol.

1%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$1,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$615 Vol.

1%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$410 Vol.

1%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$730 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$452 Vol.

1%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$458 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$529 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$528 Vol.

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the Kraków mayoral race due to consistent leads in recent opinion polls, where he registers 22–25% support as an independent candidate backed by the Kraków for Residents committee. This places him well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO- and PSL-endorsed) at 12–15% and other contenders including Daria Gosek-Popiołek and Michał Drewnicki in single digits. The fragmented field of eight registered candidates, following the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, reduces the chance of any first-round majority and favors Gibała’s local profile and prior runoff performance in 2024. Candidate registration concluded in early September after signature verification, with the first round scheduled for 27 September and a potential runoff on 11 October. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural advantages of the leading independent in a low-turnout snap contest.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$24,214
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the Kraków mayoral race due to consistent leads in recent opinion polls, where he registers 22–25% support as an independent candidate backed by the Kraków for Residents committee. This places him well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO- and PSL-endorsed) at 12–15% and other contenders including Daria Gosek-Popiołek and Michał Drewnicki in single digits. The fragmented field of eight registered candidates, following the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, reduces the chance of any first-round majority and favors Gibała’s local profile and prior runoff performance in 2024. Candidate registration concluded in early September after signature verification, with the first round scheduled for 27 September and a potential runoff on 11 October. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural advantages of the leading independent in a low-turnout snap contest.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$24,214
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Łukasz Gibała" a 83%, seguito da "Monika Piątkowska" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 83¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" ha generato $24.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 6, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è "Łukasz Gibała" a 83%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Monika Piątkowska" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.