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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali

Andrew McCullagh 40%

Mary Knowles 33%

Wendy Mitchell 13.4%

Adam Barnett 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Andrew McCullagh 40%

Mary Knowles 33%

Wendy Mitchell 13.4%

Adam Barnett 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Andrew McCullagh

Andrew McCullagh

$1,024 Vol.

40%

icon for Mary Knowles

Mary Knowles

$5,132 Vol.

33%

icon for Wendy Mitchell

Wendy Mitchell

$603 Vol.

13%

icon for Adam Barnett

Adam Barnett

$553 Vol.

9%

icon for Paul Terrett

Paul Terrett

$73 Vol.

6%

icon for Angela Offord

Angela Offord

$312 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, scheduled for a full postal ballot on October 27, 2026, trader odds reflect a fragmented field with no candidate above roughly 40% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles, elected in 2022 with a clear majority, faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Angela Offord, Wendy Mitchell, and Adam Barnett amid ongoing council tensions. A recent independent governance review highlighted strained relationships between councillors and staff, prompting 26 recommendations on procedures, culture, and transparency following prior legal disputes over ratepayer-funded actions. Voters appear focused on infrastructure renewal, rate stability, and accountability in a non-partisan contest where local priorities and candidate visibility in upcoming forums could shift preferences before ballots close. The Tasmanian Electoral Commission will declare the official winner.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,696
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, scheduled for a full postal ballot on October 27, 2026, trader odds reflect a fragmented field with no candidate above roughly 40% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles, elected in 2022 with a clear majority, faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Angela Offord, Wendy Mitchell, and Adam Barnett amid ongoing council tensions. A recent independent governance review highlighted strained relationships between councillors and staff, prompting 26 recommendations on procedures, culture, and transparency following prior legal disputes over ratepayer-funded actions. Voters appear focused on infrastructure renewal, rate stability, and accountability in a non-partisan contest where local priorities and candidate visibility in upcoming forums could shift preferences before ballots close. The Tasmanian Electoral Commission will declare the official winner.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,696
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andrew McCullagh" a 40%, seguito da "Mary Knowles" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 3, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali" è "Andrew McCullagh" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Mary Knowles" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco delle Midlands settentrionali" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.