US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control and disarming Hezbollah. Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright, labeling it void and demanding full Israeli withdrawal first, while continuing attacks that prompted recent Israeli strikes and postponed further negotiation rounds. Direct bilateral meetings between Israel and Hezbollah remain absent from the process, which instead centers on state-to-state diplomacy with US facilitation aimed at ending hostilities and restoring Lebanese sovereignty. Ongoing violence, Hezbollah's opposition, and conditional benchmarks tied to verified disarmament continue to shape assessments of any near-term diplomatic engagement between the two sides.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRiunione diplomatica Israele x Hezbollah entro...?
Riunione diplomatica Israele x Hezbollah entro...?
$98,063 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
4%
$98,063 Vol.
30 settembre
$225 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control and disarming Hezbollah. Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright, labeling it void and demanding full Israeli withdrawal first, while continuing attacks that prompted recent Israeli strikes and postponed further negotiation rounds. Direct bilateral meetings between Israel and Hezbollah remain absent from the process, which instead centers on state-to-state diplomacy with US facilitation aimed at ending hostilities and restoring Lebanese sovereignty. Ongoing violence, Hezbollah's opposition, and conditional benchmarks tied to verified disarmament continue to shape assessments of any near-term diplomatic engagement between the two sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$98,063Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:26 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control and disarming Hezbollah. Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright, labeling it void and demanding full Israeli withdrawal first, while continuing attacks that prompted recent Israeli strikes and postponed further negotiation rounds. Direct bilateral meetings between Israel and Hezbollah remain absent from the process, which instead centers on state-to-state diplomacy with US facilitation aimed at ending hostilities and restoring Lebanese sovereignty. Ongoing violence, Hezbollah's opposition, and conditional benchmarks tied to verified disarmament continue to shape assessments of any near-term diplomatic engagement between the two sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$98,063Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:26 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control and disarming Hezbollah. Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright, labeling it void and demanding full Israeli withdrawal first, while continuing attacks that prompted recent Israeli strikes and postponed further negotiation rounds. Direct bilateral meetings between Israel and Hezbollah remain absent from the process, which instead centers on state-to-state diplomacy with US facilitation aimed at ending hostilities and restoring Lebanese sovereignty. Ongoing violence, Hezbollah's opposition, and conditional benchmarks tied to verified disarmament continue to shape assessments of any near-term diplomatic engagement between the two sides.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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