Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s open 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included state Sen. Laura Fine and content creator Kat Abughazaleh amid heavy outside spending tied to Israel policy debates. The district, long represented by retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who previously ran in 2018, advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a constituency stretching from Chicago’s North Side into suburban and exurban areas. A scheduled September 2026 candidate forum offers limited opportunity for momentum shifts before the November 3 general election, while historical patterns and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen events such as significant candidate withdrawals or national political realignments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-09 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-09 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
$17,371 Vol.
95%
John Elleson (R)
$14,254 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s open 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included state Sen. Laura Fine and content creator Kat Abughazaleh amid heavy outside spending tied to Israel policy debates. The district, long represented by retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who previously ran in 2018, advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a constituency stretching from Chicago’s North Side into suburban and exurban areas. A scheduled September 2026 candidate forum offers limited opportunity for momentum shifts before the November 3 general election, while historical patterns and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen events such as significant candidate withdrawals or national political realignments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,625Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s open 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included state Sen. Laura Fine and content creator Kat Abughazaleh amid heavy outside spending tied to Israel policy debates. The district, long represented by retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who previously ran in 2018, advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a constituency stretching from Chicago’s North Side into suburban and exurban areas. A scheduled September 2026 candidate forum offers limited opportunity for momentum shifts before the November 3 general election, while historical patterns and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen events such as significant candidate withdrawals or national political realignments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,625Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s open 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included state Sen. Laura Fine and content creator Kat Abughazaleh amid heavy outside spending tied to Israel policy debates. The district, long represented by retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who previously ran in 2018, advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a constituency stretching from Chicago’s North Side into suburban and exurban areas. A scheduled September 2026 candidate forum offers limited opportunity for momentum shifts before the November 3 general election, while historical patterns and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen events such as significant candidate withdrawals or national political realignments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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