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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu

Cheng Chao-fang 59%

Hsu Hsin-ying 40%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,108 Vol.

Cheng Chao-fang 59%

Hsu Hsin-ying 40%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,108 Vol.

icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$6,969 Vol.

59%

icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$5,378 Vol.

40%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$1,004 Vol.

1%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$757 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads trader pricing in the Hsinchu County magistrate race as the DPP nominee, benefiting from his June 2026 selection backed by President Lai Ching-te and recent favorability surveys showing stronger public approval than rivals. Hsu Hsin-ying, the KMT nominee after her March primary win over Chen Chien-hsien via mixed polling and member voting, trails amid the September collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination on the related Zhubei mayoral contest, which fragments pan-blue support. Other registered candidates including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien register negligible shares, confirming the contest as effectively two-way ahead of the November 28 vote. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these nomination timelines, geographic bases, and coalition dynamics rather than any single poll.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,108
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads trader pricing in the Hsinchu County magistrate race as the DPP nominee, benefiting from his June 2026 selection backed by President Lai Ching-te and recent favorability surveys showing stronger public approval than rivals. Hsu Hsin-ying, the KMT nominee after her March primary win over Chen Chien-hsien via mixed polling and member voting, trails amid the September collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination on the related Zhubei mayoral contest, which fragments pan-blue support. Other registered candidates including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien register negligible shares, confirming the contest as effectively two-way ahead of the November 28 vote. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these nomination timelines, geographic bases, and coalition dynamics rather than any single poll.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,108
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Cheng Chao-fang" a 59%, seguito da "Hsu Hsin-ying" a 40%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 59¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" ha generato $14.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è "Cheng Chao-fang" a 59%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Hsu Hsin-ying" a 40%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.