The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 19 stems from real-time observational data confirming that exact maximum under clear skies, light northeast winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. Late-September climatology in the region typically features daytime peaks of 24–28°C with low precipitation risk, and multiple model runs plus station reports aligned precisely on this value rather than deviating toward 27°C or 29°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from official monitoring networks tracking surface temperatures, with minimal uncertainty from steering patterns or cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision or station-specific discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though current data show no such variance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 19 settembre?
28°C 100%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$55,403 Vol.
$55,403 Vol.
19 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sì
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o superiore
No
28°C 100%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$55,403 Vol.
$55,403 Vol.
19 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
$345 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,518 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,938 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,978 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,297 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,031 Vol.
Sì
29°C
$9,986 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,608 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,023 Vol.
No
32°C
$135 Vol.
No
33°C o superiore
$544 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 19 stems from real-time observational data confirming that exact maximum under clear skies, light northeast winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. Late-September climatology in the region typically features daytime peaks of 24–28°C with low precipitation risk, and multiple model runs plus station reports aligned precisely on this value rather than deviating toward 27°C or 29°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from official monitoring networks tracking surface temperatures, with minimal uncertainty from steering patterns or cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision or station-specific discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though current data show no such variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$55,403Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 19 stems from real-time observational data confirming that exact maximum under clear skies, light northeast winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. Late-September climatology in the region typically features daytime peaks of 24–28°C with low precipitation risk, and multiple model runs plus station reports aligned precisely on this value rather than deviating toward 27°C or 29°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from official monitoring networks tracking surface temperatures, with minimal uncertainty from steering patterns or cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision or station-specific discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though current data show no such variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,403Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 19 stems from real-time observational data confirming that exact maximum under clear skies, light northeast winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. Late-September climatology in the region typically features daytime peaks of 24–28°C with low precipitation risk, and multiple model runs plus station reports aligned precisely on this value rather than deviating toward 27°C or 29°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from official monitoring networks tracking surface temperatures, with minimal uncertainty from steering patterns or cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision or station-specific discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though current data show no such variance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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