Forecast consensus from European and global models, including GFS runs and German meteorological guidance, supports a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near or at that level and sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C for the date. With evening temperatures already falling into the mid-teens Celsius, the market-implied near-certainty at 22°C reflects the limited remaining window for deviation. Only an unexpected late surge from atypical advection or station-specific microclimate effects could alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 19 settembre?
22°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,232 Vol.
$28,232 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,232 Vol.
$28,232 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast consensus from European and global models, including GFS runs and German meteorological guidance, supports a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near or at that level and sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C for the date. With evening temperatures already falling into the mid-teens Celsius, the market-implied near-certainty at 22°C reflects the limited remaining window for deviation. Only an unexpected late surge from atypical advection or station-specific microclimate effects could alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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