Recent polling in Goiás shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Gracinha Caiado consistently leading in combined first- and second-choice voter intentions while Gustavo Gayer holds a firm position in the second slot. September surveys, including IGAPE and Directa, place Gayer between 18% and 20% in aggregated support, often ahead of or statistically tied with Gustavo Mendanha and other contenders such as Vanderlan Cardoso and Zacharias Calil. This positioning, reinforced by Gayer’s PL affiliation and prior federal deputy performance, underpins trader consensus on his second-place prospects ahead of the October 4 vote. Lower-probability outcomes reflect limited polling visibility for the remaining registered candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGustavo Gayer 70%
Vanderlan Cardoso 6.0%
Gracinha Caiado 4.5%
Dott. Zacharias Calil 4.0%
$37,517 Vol.
$37,517 Vol.

Gustavo Gayer
70%

Vanderlan Cardoso
6%

Gracinha Caiado
5%

Dott. Zacharias Calil
4%

Gustavo Mendanha
7%

Iure Castro
<1%

Cintia Dias
<1%

Ernesto Roller
<1%

Guilherme Darques
<1%

Oséias Varão
<1%

Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 70%
Vanderlan Cardoso 6.0%
Gracinha Caiado 4.5%
Dott. Zacharias Calil 4.0%
$37,517 Vol.
$37,517 Vol.

Gustavo Gayer
70%

Vanderlan Cardoso
6%

Gracinha Caiado
5%

Dott. Zacharias Calil
4%

Gustavo Mendanha
7%

Iure Castro
<1%

Cintia Dias
<1%

Ernesto Roller
<1%

Guilherme Darques
<1%

Oséias Varão
<1%

Isaura Lemos
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Goiás shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Gracinha Caiado consistently leading in combined first- and second-choice voter intentions while Gustavo Gayer holds a firm position in the second slot. September surveys, including IGAPE and Directa, place Gayer between 18% and 20% in aggregated support, often ahead of or statistically tied with Gustavo Mendanha and other contenders such as Vanderlan Cardoso and Zacharias Calil. This positioning, reinforced by Gayer’s PL affiliation and prior federal deputy performance, underpins trader consensus on his second-place prospects ahead of the October 4 vote. Lower-probability outcomes reflect limited polling visibility for the remaining registered candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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