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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1
Mondo·Samoa

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1
Mondo·Samoa

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 30.3%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 27%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 11%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 9.4%

Polymarket

$23,617 Vol.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 30.3%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 27%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 11%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 9.4%

Polymarket

$23,617 Vol.

icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$5,474 Vol.

30%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$6,223 Vol.

27%

icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$8,349 Vol.

11%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$989 Vol.

9%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$1,496 Vol.

7%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$469 Vol.

5%

icon for Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$617 Vol.

4%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates in the Samoan Falealili 1 by-election, set for September 18, has kept trader odds tightly clustered, with leading contenders such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu trading in the mid-20s to low-30s percent range. The vacancy arose after the Court of Appeal upheld the voiding of former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 seat over bribery findings. FAST fielded multiple nominees while HRPP selected Taveuveu and independents including prior contenders added further fragmentation. With voting and pre-polling imminent and no dominant frontrunner established in public reporting, the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows limited separation until official results clarify the outcome.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$23,617
Data di fine
18 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates in the Samoan Falealili 1 by-election, set for September 18, has kept trader odds tightly clustered, with leading contenders such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu trading in the mid-20s to low-30s percent range. The vacancy arose after the Court of Appeal upheld the voiding of former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 seat over bribery findings. FAST fielded multiple nominees while HRPP selected Taveuveu and independents including prior contenders added further fragmentation. With voting and pre-polling imminent and no dominant frontrunner established in public reporting, the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows limited separation until official results clarify the outcome.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$23,617
Data di fine
18 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale" a 30%, seguito da "Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 30¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1" ha generato $23.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 31, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1" è "Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale" a 30%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Falealili 1" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.