Recent minor service degradations at OpenAI have shaped trader views on near-term ChatGPT reliability. On September 9, elevated errors hit Pro and Plus plan conversations for about an hour, while September 8 saw several hours of disrupted file uploads and image generation. These follow the September 3 multi-component outage that affected conversations, Codex, logins, and more across at least 15 areas, drawing over 35,000 user reports. Official status.openai.com shows full recovery and 99.6%+ uptime in recent periods, yet recurring issues tied to scaling large language model inference and API loads continue to influence market-implied odds. No major infrastructure announcements or regulatory updates have emerged in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoInterruzione ChatGPT di....?
15 settembre
74%
30 settembre
85%
$2,128 Vol.
15 settembre
74%
30 settembre
85%
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent minor service degradations at OpenAI have shaped trader views on near-term ChatGPT reliability. On September 9, elevated errors hit Pro and Plus plan conversations for about an hour, while September 8 saw several hours of disrupted file uploads and image generation. These follow the September 3 multi-component outage that affected conversations, Codex, logins, and more across at least 15 areas, drawing over 35,000 user reports. Official status.openai.com shows full recovery and 99.6%+ uptime in recent periods, yet recurring issues tied to scaling large language model inference and API loads continue to influence market-implied odds. No major infrastructure announcements or regulatory updates have emerged in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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