Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in first-round polling for the Acre presidential contest, reflecting sustained regional support for the Liberal Party candidate and his emphasis on agriculture, security, and evangelical priorities amid high voter rejection of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest, have shown the senator ahead by double-digit margins in the Amazonian state, with other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trailing far behind. National trends remain tighter, yet Acre’s distinct voting patterns have anchored trader consensus. Late-campaign developments, including shifts in turnout or unforeseen national events before the October 4 first round, represent the primary variables that could still narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,656 Vol.
$10,656 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Zema
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Lula
<1%

Samara
<1%

Scrittore Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,656 Vol.
$10,656 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Zema
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Lula
<1%

Samara
<1%

Scrittore Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in first-round polling for the Acre presidential contest, reflecting sustained regional support for the Liberal Party candidate and his emphasis on agriculture, security, and evangelical priorities amid high voter rejection of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest, have shown the senator ahead by double-digit margins in the Amazonian state, with other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trailing far behind. National trends remain tighter, yet Acre’s distinct voting patterns have anchored trader consensus. Late-campaign developments, including shifts in turnout or unforeseen national events before the October 4 first round, represent the primary variables that could still narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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